Model OpinionsTesla designs and sells electric cars (Model 3, Model Y, Model S, Model X, and Cybertruck) and provides related services such as charging and maintenance. It also sells energy storage products like Powerwall for homes and Megapack for commercial and utility customers. The company markets software features such as Full Self-Driving subscriptions and has launched a ride-hailing service using its robotaxi technology in select areas. Tesla sells directly to customers and operates a global service and charging network.
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Tesla’s story has shifted toward AI-driven services and robotaxi, while energy storage is growing fast, but the hard numbers show pressure: profit per car has fallen, EPS is down year over year, and operating margins have slid even as revenue recently bounced. The balance sheet is strong with plenty of cash and little debt, so there’s no solvency worry, but the stock is priced for near-perfect execution with a Price earnings ratio around 270 and very high EV-to-cash flow. If robotaxi and software take longer to monetize, or if price cuts persist in cars, the risk is that earnings stay muted and the valuation comes down. Energy strength and cost work could help, but with margins under pressure and heavy AI spending, the risk/reward over 12 months skews cautious despite the long-term vision [10-K, press release, and Q3 commentary support the pivot and cost pressure narrative].
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3.2%
Median typical 1-day absolute move
-18.0% / +22.0%
30-day total return range
65
Likelihood of ≥3% overnight gap (30d)
Information sources used to generate this analysis